Back Numbers 2007

VDF seminar to introduce the books on social issues in HCMC

 On 6 December 2007, VDF and the SISS (The Southern Institute for Social Sciences) co-held a seminar at the SISS in HCMC to introduce two volumes of the book "Social Issues under Economic Transformation and Integration in Vietnam". The two volumes, with research contributions from both foreign and Vietnamese professors and researchers, were published in March and October 2007 in Tokyo and Hanoi. Mr. Giang Thanh Long (VDF) made a brief overview about the book contents and called for papers on migration issues of Vietnam. Then, Ms. Duong Kim Hong presented her final draft on "The wave of female housemaid migrants from Rural to urban areas: Consequences and Solutions". This will be one chapter in the coming book on Migration issues of VDF. HongSlidesV(PDFKB),  HongDraftE(PDFKB), LongSlidesE(PDF456KB), LongSlidesV(PDF798KB)

 

The development of bond market – An approach from policy issues

On 4th December, VDF held a workshop on the development of bond market in Vietnam. The presenter, Dr. Nguyen Son, the Head of the Market Development Department from State Security Commission gave an overview of the bond market in Vietnam. His presentation focused on evaluations of bond issuing and transaction markets. Some reasons causing the under- development of bond market were discussed, such as: the discourage tax policy, the weak and loose relationship between the monetary market and bond market, and the low liquidity of corporate bond. The presenter also introduced the roadmap for the development of government bond market, which includes two stages, (i) an application of multi-dealer system from 2008 to 2011, and (ii) an implementation of  inter-dealer system from 2011 if necessary conditions are satisfied. The participants from research institutes, State Bank of Vietnam, Ministry of Finance and firms discussed about the risks inherent when the bond market blooms in the near future, the advantages and disadvantages when government mobilizes fund by issuing international bond, and the obstacles when banks and firms issue bonds in the period of IPO process of SOCB and SOE in Vietnam. SlidesV(PDF262KB)

 

MOIT seminar on motorcycle master plan

On December 03, MOIT held a seminar to disseminate the "Master Plan for the Development of Vietnamese Motorcycle Industry in the Period of 2006 - 2015,
with a Vision to 2020" that was approved by the Minister of Industry and Trade in August 2007. Representatives from NOIP, NTSC, FDI and local producers including Honda Vietnam, Yamaha Motor Vietnam, VMEP, Piaggio Vietnam, and Sufat, and other relevant organizations participated in the seminar. After presentations on main contents of the master plan by the MOIT, participants discussed on structure and some additional contents of the approved master plan, which were revised from the JWG's draft. Numeral targets and implementation of the policy measures were also focused for discussion. Appreciating comments of the participants, the MOIT strengthened further cooperation with relevant stakeholders to realize the master plan. ApprovedMP-V
(PDF1.4MB), ApprovedMP-E(PDF513KB), JWGDraftE(PDF1.1MB), JWGDraftV(PDF1.5MB), More

 

VDF report draft--Why inflation is rising?
VDF is preparing a report covering various issues that Vietnam is likely to encounter from now to 2020. We hope to construct a general policy framework and provide overall guidance to policy makers. One chapter asks why Vietnam's inflation is rising, especially since 2004, relative to
neighboring countries. VDF suggests that the combination of large capital
inflows, fiscal activism, and uncontrollable shocks (oil prices, bird flu, etc) are causing Vietnam's inflation. Capital inflows are particularly important since it creates certain macroeconomic difficulties and may lead to a serious capital account crisis if the problem is not properly diagnosed. VDF would like to share the analysis of this chapter in this preliminary stage. DraftCh.15
(Word, 147KB)

 

VDF report draft--Inequality in Vietnam
In many Asian countries, including Vietnam, all income groups are getting richer but the rich is getting richer faster than the poor. This means rising inequality. Vietnam's Gini coefficient is around 37%, which is moderately unequal, but China's has already reached a very high (unequal) level of 47%. VDF also points to asset inequality, related to land speculation, in Vietnam although precise data are unavailable. Possible corrective policies are also discussed in this preliminary draft. DraftCh.8 (Word, 66.5KB)

 

VDF seminar to introduce the books on social issues
On 03 December 2007, VDF held a seminar to introduce two volumes of the book "Social Issues under Economic Transformation and Integration in Vietnam". The two volumes, with research contributions from both foreign and Vietnamese professors and researchers, were published in March and October 2007 in Tokyo and Hanoi. Mr. Giang Thanh Long (VDF) made a brief overview about the book contents, and then Mr. Tran Duy Dong (MPI) present his paper on economic growth and income inequality in Vietnam during 1993-2002. Many researchers and policy makers from various institutions attended the seminar, and they provided a lot of discussions on social issues, as well as suggested possible issues for research consideration. 
GTLong_E(PDF456KB), GTLong_V(PDF798KB), TDDong_E(PDF161KB),  TDDong_V(PDF493KB)


Networking for social workers helping street children
On 30-31 Oct. 2007, two social workers from HCMC, Ms. Tuyen and Ms. Chi, visited VDF in Hanoi. They are staff of a Belgium-funded project targeting street children as well as linking social workers who assist them. VDF introduced a number of relevant organizations in Hanoi for interview. The project organizes various classes (informal, vocational, English), hosts events for children, and runs a motorbike repair shop for job training in HCMC. It also organizes domestic conferences and frequently attends international conferences to share experiences with social workers in other countries. VDF has worked with Ms. Tuyen before when it visited HCMC.


Building an automotive fuel quality monitoring system
On 9-10-2007, Mr. Kiyoyuki Minato, head researcher at Japan Automobile Research Instute and expert on air pollution control in E. Asia, spoke in a VDF workshop where the importance of fuel quality was highlighted. Implementing EURO2 (or EURO4 in future) requires emission regulation, vehicle technology, and fuel quality. Vietnam currently lacks effective fuel quality monitoring mainly due to weak implementation although regulations already exist. Participants included MoST, MoIT, MoTrans, oil company, Japanese expert, and researchers. This is Mr. Minato's second visit to Hanoi this year. He is preparing to conduct nationwide fuel quality survey and draft a fuel improvement proposal for Vietnam in the future. Slides (PDF665KB)

Evaluating efficiency of research projects in Vietnam
In a VDF workshop on 28-9-2007, Mr. Bach Ngoc Thang (NEU) assessed research projects conducted by Vietnamese universities. The nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis model was used over 45 research projects funded by MOET. Efficiency was decomposed into scale, technical and mix efficiency. Inputs were measured by staff and budget size, and output included 10 variables such as numbers of articles, citations, PhD graduates, and commercial applications. While technical efficiency was generally high (75%), low mix efficiency (43%) indicated the possibility of "slacks". Audience raised questions about the quality of output variables and difficulty in applying this method to Vietnam. 
Slides (PDF183KB) 

 

VDF workshop on Impact of family and other factors on adolescent, youth sexual behavior: a qualitative research in Hanoi

On 29-8-2007, Ms. Pham Quynh Huong, PhD candidate at Tokyo University and researcher at Institute of Sociology presented her study on “Impact of Family and Other Factors on Adolescent, Youth Sexual Behavior: a qualitative research in Hanoi”. Participants are researchers from Institute of Family and Gender Studies, Institute of Sociology, Institute of Social Development Studies, Public Health University, Mahiol University , and other organizations. Huong’s survey results shown that viewpoint about pre-marital sex (PMS) of Vietnamese Youth and Adolescent is more open than before. And boys seem to be more open to sexuality than girls. Family supervision is important to protect children from risky behaviors like motorbike racing, hanging with bad friends, staying overnight outside etc. However, if the supervision is too strict, children will hide their risky behaviors from parents. Beside, parents with higher knowledge of sexuality and liberal attitudes toward sexuality, or closer relationship with their children are more likely to communicate to and impact on their children. PaperE (PDF320KB), Slides (PDF68KB)

 

Steel industry in new phase and policy shift
On 28-8-2007, Prof. Nozomu Kawabata (Tohoku Univ.) gave a VDF workshop on VN's steel industry with increasingly strong investments by private and FDI firms. After reviewing demand and supply, material flows and future prospects of long and flat sectors, the following topics were discussed: quality of some of the licensed FDI projects, VSC's future role, scrap problems regarding procurement and environment, proliferation of mini blast furnace construction, and possibility of receiving international cooperation. Participants included policy makers, producers, steel trading businesses and researchers. One policy advisor underscored very limited policy room under the current policy of free entry and WTO. Prof. Kawabata is an expert on steel industries in Japan, Vietnam, China and Thailand, and works closely with VDF. PaperE (PDF637KB), PaperV (PDF1,104KB), Slides (PDF338KB)

 

Thai auto parts mission visits VDF
On 23-8-2007, four experts from the Research and Development for Industry Institute (RDI) under the Federation of Thai Industries visited VDF. In their mission to Hanoi and HCMC, the Thai team met related producers and  organizations in order to draft a report for Thai auto parts makers wanting  to invest in Vietnam. Several VDF researchers exchanged information and  views on Vietnam's automobile, motorcycle and part markets.


VDF workshop on group lending: a good enforcement scheme for achieving high repayment rates?

On 7-8-2007, VDF hosted Dr. Hisaki Kono to present his recent research on effects of group lending as enforcement scheme for achieving high repayment rates. The paper concentrated on strategic default of borrowers by examining 500 persons in the author’s framed field experiment conducted in Ho Chi Minh City. The research indicated the effects of joint liability on free-riding and reciprocity of borrowers. However, joint liability seemed not so different from individual lending in repayments rates. This suggested the needs of various driving forces in microfinance in improving repayment rates. Some comments of audiences were on the dynamic effects of joint liability and factors induced from group lending. Slides (PDF158KB)

Vietnam's steel industry in a new phase
In June 2007, Prof. Nozomu Kawabata (Tohoku Univ), a leading scholar on the steel industry, has completed a paper, "Iron and steel industry in Viet Nam: a new phase and policy shift" which describes the rise of private and FDI producers and needed policy shifts. Previously, state-owned enterprises were given a leading role. Now, the government's role should shift from production and investment to the proper management of competition policy,  scrap trading system, environment, trade liberalization, project evaluation and the use of the industry association. Prof. Kawabata closely works with VDF. PaperE (PDF637KB), PaperV (PDF1.1MB). Also downloadable from Prof. Kawabata's website: http://www.econ.tohoku.ac.jp/~kawabata/research.htm#dis

VDF workshop on technology spillover from FDI
On 26-6-2007, Dr. Le Quoc Hoi (NEU) presented his empirical study using firm-level panel data in VN's 29 industries in 2000-2004. This was part of his dissertation at the University of Adelaide, Australia. After identifying channels of "horizontal spillover" (FDI to local competitor firms in the same industry) and "vertical spillover" (FDI to local suppliers in upstream industries), pooled OLS results were reported with various specifications. The main findings were that vertical spillover was dominant and its degree depended on characteristics of both FDI and local firms. Participants asked about the meaning of FDI's "quality," the validity of policy implications, and the concept of horizontal spillover (competition pressure from FDI within an industry).  Slides (PDF47KB)

Introduction of two new books on Japanese history
On 25-6-2007, VDF organized a symposium at NEU to introduce two books newly translated into Vietnamese: Dr. Tadao Umesao's Ecological View of History and Prof. K.Ohno's Economic Development of Japan (see news below). Prof. Nguyen Van Kim (HNU, photo) explained the significance of Umesao's work and Prof. Ohno described Meiji Japan's high capability in economic development. Mr. Nguyen Duc Thanh, co-translator of Umesao's book, discussed historical philosophies. Prof. Nguyen Hai Ke (HNU), Mr. Tran Doan Lam (The Gioi Publisher), and participants also made comments and questions.

Prof. Fujimoto discusses business architecture at MOI
On 11-6-2007, Prof. Takahiro Fujimoto (Tokyo Univ), leading authority in business architecture theory, visited Hanoi to explain his ideas at the Ministry of Industry (MOI). Prof. Ohno (VDF) also presented. The main policy message was that VN should learn integral manufacturing, which required effective promotion of supporting industries and industrial human resources. This workshop was requested by MOI Minister Hoang Trung Hai and arranged by VDF. Participants asked several questions for Japanese professors. Minister Hai raised issues related to global trend in business architecture, possibility of cooperation with Japan including ODA, the way to invite retired Japanese engineers, and the recently drafted motorbike master plan. During his stay, Prof. Fujimoto also visited Canon factory in Thang Long IP and held an internal discussion with VDF staff. Prof. Fujimoto's SlidesE (PDF289KB), Prof. Fujimoto's SlidesV (PDF662KB), Prof. Ohno's SlidesE (PDF200KB), Prof. Ohno's SlidesV (PDF405KB)

Vietnam's auto parts industry and investment environment
On 5 June 2007, Dr. Nguyen Xuan Chuan, President of Vietnam Society of Automotive Engineers and a former Vice Minister of Ministry of Industry, presented current situations and challenges in Vietnam's Automobile industry. He stressed improvement of infrastructure, human resources, and supporting industries for the development of automobile industry. He will participate in the Automotive Parts Product Solution Fair 2007 on 11-16 June at Tokyo, supported by United Nations Industrial Development Organization and the Ministry of Industry. Slides (PDF242KB)

Motorbike master plan draft is submitted
On 31-5-2007, the Motorbike Joint Working Group submitted the final draft of the motorbike master plan to the Ministry of Industry. This was the result of intensive work among MOI, producers and experts since Spring 2006. VDF acted as facilitator of this group. After submission, MOI plans to hear views of related businesses and organizations, revise further, and submit it to the Prime Minister for approval.  More

Economic development of Japan in Vietnamese
In Mach 2007, the Vietnamese edition of Economic Development of Japan (Phát triển kinh tế của Nhật Bản), by Prof. Kenichi Ohno, was translated and published by VDF. This is a textbook used in GRIPS, Tokyo. It has previously been published in English, Japanese and Chinese. Arabic translation is also underway. Chapters are downloadable from this website. For free hardcopy, please contact VDF.  More


Motorbike master plan draft is ready
(Apr.2007) VDF has coordinated the joint drafting of the master plan among producers, experts and MOI officials since early 2006. After one year of intensive work, the draft is now ready in English and Vietnamese (except ch.9 which contain concrete measures). This is an open document downloadable from this website. The draft analyzes production structure, forecasts demand and considers social aspects of motorbike use. Government is asked to support the healthy growth of the industry while minimizing pollution, congestion, accidents and intellectual property violation. The final draft is expected at end May. Comments welcome. More

New books from VDF
I
n April 2007, VDF and GRIPS Development Forum published three books. Please contact us for free hard copies or click the links below to download.

Các vấn đề xã hội trong quá trình chuyển đổi và hội nhập kinh tế ở Việt Nam - Tập 1  

Giang Thanh LongDương Kim Hồng (Chủ biên)

Diễn đàn Phát triển Việt Nam, 2007
Social Issues Under Economic Transformation and Intergration in Vietnam -  Vol.1

Giang Thanh Long and Duong Kim Hong (Eds.)

Vietnam Development Forum, 2007
Building Supporting Industries in Vietnam - Vol.1

Kenichi Ohno (Ed.)

Vietnam Development Forum, 2007
Phát triển Kinh tế của Nhật Bản

Kenichi Ohno

Vietnam Development Forum, 2007

Lịch sử nhìn từ quan điểm sinh thái học: văn minh Nhật bản trong bối cảnh thế giới

Tác giả: Tadao Umesao 
Biên dịch: Bùi Nguyễn Anh Tuấn và Nguyễn Đức Thành

Nhà Xuất bản Thế giới, 2007

VDF motorbike symposium
On 21-3-2007, VDF organized the Symposium on Development and Management of Motorbike in Vietnam at Melia Hotel, Hanoi, as part of the joint drafting process of the motorbike master plan. Policy makers, producers, experts and media participated, with a total attendance of 115. MOI Vice Minister Dr. Do Huu Hao (photo), NEU Rector Prof. Nguyen Van Thuong, and NEU Vice Rector Prof. Phan Cong Nghia opened the symposium. Kenichi Ohno (VDF) and Nguyen Anh Nam (IPSI/MOI) reported the drafting method, preliminary conclusions, and remaining issues. The results of VDF's consumer survey through street sampling and internet were also reported. Free discussion touched many issues including demand forecasts, environment and traffic safety measures, state role in export promotion, tariff policy, quality standards, and consumer survey. Opinions in this symposium will be used in drafting the master plan, to be finalized by end May 2007.
SlidesE
(PDF207KB), SlidesV (PDF533KB), More

Improving industrial human resources (IHR)
On 7-3-2007, Ms. Nguyen Thi Xuan Thuy (MOI and VDF Tokyo) presented her research design on IHR. The basic aim is to identify and measure the gap between demand (business need) and supply (training and education). On the demand side, Lall's four IHR patterns, business architectures, supporting industry scopes and JETRO surveys will be discussed. On the supply side, legal framework, ministerial coordination, current IHR and schools will be examined. Participants noted that D-S gaps were often company-specific and could not be identified by general surveys. Others emphasized the importance of interactive curriculum building and program adjustments between technical education and business requirements. This study is part of VDF's industrial research and will be conducted in the coming months. Slides (PDF740KB)

VDF survey on motorbike use
(
5-3-2007) VDF is conducting an electronic survey on appropriate policy  direction on motorbike use. Similar  survey is also conducted on Dan Tri, VnExpress and Tuoi Tre Online websites. In addition, about 2,000 people are directly surveyed in various places in  Hanoi and HCMC. VDF staff will also write articles on printed media. These  activities are part of the drafting process of the motorbike master plan,  and aimed at increasing awareness and receiving opinions on Vietnam's motorbike policy. The surveys will continue until mid March.

Book on technical efficiency and productivity growth
On 2-3-2007 at National Economics University, a symposium to mark the publication of "Technical Efficiency and Productivity Growth in Vietnam: Parametric and Non-parametric Analyses" (English) was held. The book was edited by Prof. Nguyen Khac Minh (photo right) and Mr. Giang Thanh Long (left), with contributions from seven researchers. Throughout the volume, stochastic frontier production function (SFPF) method and data envelopment analysis (DEA) are used to examine Vietnamese industries, especially service sectors. The symposium was attended by NEU Vice Rector Phan Cong Nghia, NEU-Netherlands program chairman Vu Thieu, GRIPS professors Kenichi Ohno, Kaliappa Kalirajan, and Wade Pfau. This work was joint research between NEU  and Thammasat Univ, Thailand. VDF provided support for publication.

Intellectual property rights in motorbikes - East Asian experience
In the week of 5-2-2007, IPR experts from Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association (JAMA) are cooperating with the motorbike master plan team to share Japan's experience in China and ASEAN, study the situation in VN and make comments on the draft. They have internal meetings, present a seminar, and visit related companies and offices including MOI, National Office for Intellectual Property (NOIP), Market Management Department (MOT) and Economic Police. This is the third group of Japanese experts to assist VN's motorbike master plan drafting.

VDF meets Hanoi Department of Planning and Investment (DPI)
On 30-1-2007, VDF was invited to give a seminar at Hanoi People's Committee to report its research on Hanoi's business environment and ways to activate strategic FDI marketing. DPI hosted the seminar which was attended by other departments such as DOLISA, DOI, DONRE, Internal Department, as well as VCCI. Prof. K Ohno and Ms. Pham Thi Huyen presented. Comments focused mainly on sample size and methodology. This was the second time VDF explained its Hanoi study to Hanoi authorities, following the Dec.20 symposium (see Back Numbers 2006). VDF is happy to continue to work with Hanoi to help launch pro-active FDI marketing.

Japanese supporting industry expert visits Hanoi
In the week of 29-1-2007, Mr. Shosei Hiroe (Expect Consulting Co, Ltd), who has long experience in automobile and motorbike industries in many countries, is working with VDF to support the drafting of the Motorbike Master Plan. He has intensively supervised and improved management and technology of many factories in the Philippines and Thailand. He meets MOI, gives a seminar at VCCI, exchange views with the drafting team, and visits local suppliers. Mr. Hiroe is the second Japanese expert dispatched to support the Motorbike JWG.

Analysis of Vietnam's rural credit market
On 16-1-2007, Ms. Tran Binh Minh (CIEM) presented a study on rural credit rationing in Ha Tay, Phu Tho, Quang Nam and Long An using data from VN Household Living Standard Survey 2002 and a related survey. A probit model of full credit approval versus partial/non-approval was estimated over 993 households. Formal, semi-formal and informal credit sources were identified but not distinguished in the regression. Discussion on missing variables, model specification, meaning of credit rationing, VN's peculiarities, etc. followed. This study is part of her master thesis for VN-Netherlands program at NEU.  Slides (PDF72KB)

Workshop on emission control in Asia and Vietnam
On 11-1-2007, Dr. Minato (JARI, see previous news) discussed urban air pollution in Asia and Vietnam, based on international data and experiences. Evolution of auto and motorcycle use was analyzed, air quality in various countries including Japan were reported, and standards and measures were explained. Vietnam's possible roadmap for Euro2 and 4 (skipping Euro3) was also evaluated. Mr. Minato emphasized that, to implement emission standards, fuel quality improvement and a workable maintenance and inspection system were crucial. Future use of Dung Quat oil refinery was also discussed. The seminar was attended by the drafting team of the motorbike master plan as well as other officials, researchers and private firms (his slides E/V are available upon request).

Japanese air pollution expert assists motorbike M/P drafting
From 9 to 12 Jan.2007, Mr. Kiyoyuki Minato (Japan Automobile Research Institute, photo right) visits Hanoi to help Motorbike Joint Working Group to formulate the environmental chapter drafted by Ms. Le Ha Thanh (VDF, photo left) and Prof. Nguyen Thi Ha (HN National Univ.). He works closely with VDF, MOI, experts and producers to evaluate transport-caused urban air pollution in Vietnam and suggests feasible solutions in light of international experience. He gives one seminar and two internal meetings, and visits related organizations. Mr. Minato is the first expert dispatched by Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) to assist the motorbike team. Three other experts, in supporting industries, human resources and intellectual property, will be sent to Vietnam in the coming months.

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